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Following a sizeable move lower in US technology Stocks last week, we have witnessed a meaningful recovery unfold. The USD Index is in a concerning position; the monthly price continues to hold the south channel support.
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In-Depth Analysis
A few months ago I started to notice something odd. The price of natural hazelnuts had more or less doubled. Shortly after, they became surprisingly hard to find, at least in supermarkets where they had always been readily available.
Every bull market creates its own regrets. Missed entries. Delayed conviction. Capital deployed just late enough to feel the move, but not profit from it.
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Cryptocurrencies
Ripple trades under pressure, with immediate support at $1.40 holding at the time of writing on Tuesday. A recovery attempt from last week’s sell-off to $1.12 stalled at $1.54 on Friday, leading to limited price action between the current support and the resistance.
The Crypto King, Bitcoin, is constrained below $70,000, with the price holding around $69,000. Altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, exhibit technical weakness but are holding above key support levels at $2,000 and $1.40, respectively.
Aster (ASTER) edges higher by over 7% at press time on Thursday, crossing above its 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the 4-hour chart while testing a long-term resistance trendline on the daily.
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Stocks
The cycle from the January 21, 2026 low in Apple (AAPL) is unfolding as a five‑wave Elliott Wave impulse. From that low, wave 1 advanced to $268.34, followed by a corrective pullback in wave 2 that terminated at $252.12. The stock then resumed its upward trajectory in wave 3.
Weekly Forecast
The EUR/USD pair lost additional ground in the first week of February, settling at around 1.1820. The reversal lost momentum after the pair peaked at 1.2082 in January, its highest since mid-2021.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) changed course against the US Dollar (USD), with GBP/USD giving up nearly 200 pips in a dramatic correction.
Bitcoin (BTC) price recovers slightly, trading at $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after reaching a low of $60,000 during the early Asian trading session. The Crypto King remained under pressure so far this week, posting three consecutive weeks of losses exceeding 30%.
Finally, the recent steep leg lower in the US Dollar (USD) has found some respite. Indeed, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has managed to regain some composure and put further distance from the yearly lows near 95.50 recorded in late January, reaching the boundaries of the 98.00 yardstick toward the end of the week.




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